Bernanke, Recession, and Inflation

Yesterday Bernanke gave a speech about the United States economy. In his speech, he mentioned several very important pieces of information for forex traders, including information about a recession and the inflation.

First, Bernanke talked about the potential recession. He said he knows that the recent job report and oil prices are very unwelcome, but the fear of recession should not be so big. The economy is starting to do better. This gave the dollar a little boost, but not as his inflation speech.

After mentioning the recession, Bernanke started talking about inflation. He said that if consumers and business owners expect inflation, they will behave in such a way that accelerates inflation, so it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. Then he warned that if inflation does stay at safe levels, the Fed may have to raise interest rates. This led the dollar to jump, the EUR/USD rate fell, and Forex Tracer managed to get a nice boost out of it.

Today's only interesting report in the US is the trade balance, something Bush managed to ruin. Let's see how bad it will be this time.

Good luck with your trades,
Nadav

nadavs